Dawn Assault at Mednoye
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1200 | 1147 | 58% | 2026-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1014 | 67% | 2026-05-08 | | Won |
| 1217 | 1156 | 59% | 2026-05-04 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1030 | 65% | 2025-12-24 | | Won |
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2025-03-15 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1168 vs 1069.4 has a 63.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).