Dawn Assault at Mednoye
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (5 on the archive and 1 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1188 | 1147 | 56% | 2026-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 954 | 75% | 2026-05-08 | | Won |
| 1284 | 1126 | 71% | 2026-05-04 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1030 | 67% | 2025-12-24 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2025-03-15 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1183.2 vs 1051.4 has a 68.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).