Conference Approved
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 4
Defender wins (North Korean): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 845 | 62% | 2026-04-14 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1005 | 51% | 2025-12-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-12-13 | | Won |
| 1139 | 1189 | 43% | 2025-12-09 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020.3 vs 1009.8 has a 51.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).