ASL Scenario Archive

Among the Ruins

Games with no balance used/recorded: 233 (36 on the archive and 197 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (American): 122

Defender wins (German): 110

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1000	1086	38%	2021-01-05	Lost
952	1156	24%	2019-10-18	Lost
1229	1085	70%	2017-04-16	Won
987	1052	41%	2017-03-30	Won
1147	1108	56%	2017-03-28	Won
1077	973	65%	2016-09-11	Won
1089	1000	63%	2016-05-11	Lost
1098	1000	64%	2016-03-13	Won
1000	1014	48%	2016-03-11	Won
966	1002	45%	2016-01-17	Won
1000	969	54%	2015-03-22	Won
1085	1053	55%	2013-11-15	Won
959	1343	10%	2013-07-26	Lost
952	991	44%	2013-06-22	Lost
1000	951	57%	2012-10-07	Won
987	1000	48%	2012-01-01	Lost
1126	977	70%	2011-08-01	Lost
952	1000	43%	2011-04-06	Lost
1167	1045	67%	2010-06-26	Won
1167	939	79%	2010-05-30	Won
983	1000	48%	2009-10-24	Won
1062	1006	58%	2009-01-31	Won
1000	915	62%	2008-12-16	Won
1055	1000	58%	2008-03-07	Lost
1000	1055	42%	2008-01-12	Won
1000	1219	22%	2006-02-27	Tied
1101	1000	64%	2005-07-09	Won
1074	970	65%	2004-04-18	Lost
1100	1000	64%	2004-04-03	Won
1057	988	60%	2004-03-07	Lost
1241	987	81%	2003-09-24	Won
1140	832	85%	2003-01-24	Won
1056	1000	58%	2002-03-15	Won
1037	1000	55%	2000-09-09	Won
1074	1011	59%	1998-12-17	Lost
1140	1000	69%	1994-08-22	Won

Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1057.2 vs 1020.2 has a 55.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).