Among the Ruins
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 230 (33 on the archive and 197 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 122
Defender wins (German): 107
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
918 | 1014 | 37% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
1007 | 1004 | 50% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
1170 | 1219 | 43% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
981 | 1063 | 38% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
1058 | 1094 | 45% | 2017-03-28 | Won |
1065 | 976 | 63% | 2016-09-11 | Won |
1143 | 986 | 71% | 2016-05-11 | Lost |
1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
1039 | 945 | 63% | 2016-03-11 | Won |
884 | 987 | 36% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
1032 | 994 | 55% | 2015-03-22 | Won |
1219 | 1054 | 72% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
1007 | 1015 | 49% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
921 | 951 | 46% | 2012-10-07 | Won |
987 | 1032 | 44% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
1147 | 986 | 72% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
1007 | 984 | 53% | 2011-04-06 | Lost |
1010 | 1044 | 45% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2010-05-30 | Won |
983 | 1091 | 35% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-01-31 | Won |
1032 | 920 | 66% | 2008-12-16 | Won |
1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2008-03-07 | Lost |
1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
1051 | 1316 | 18% | 2006-02-27 | Tied |
1098 | 978 | 67% | 2005-07-09 | Won |
1133 | 1034 | 64% | 2004-04-03 | Won |
1061 | 973 | 62% | 2004-03-07 | Lost |
1282 | 1003 | 83% | 2003-09-24 | Won |
1223 | 847 | 90% | 2003-01-24 | Won |
1043 | 1044 | 50% | 2002-03-15 | Won |
1082 | 1092 | 49% | 2000-09-09 | Won |
1223 | 1110 | 66% | 1994-08-22 | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1029.4 has a 55.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).