Among the Ruins
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 230 (33 on the archive and 197 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 122
Defender wins (German): 107
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
920 | 1013 | 37% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
1005 | 933 | 60% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
1152 | 1128 | 53% | 2017-04-16 | Won |
1011 | 1023 | 48% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
982 | 1094 | 34% | 2017-03-28 | Won |
1064 | 969 | 63% | 2016-09-11 | Won |
985 | 986 | 50% | 2016-05-11 | Lost |
1190 | 937 | 81% | 2016-03-13 | Won |
1039 | 993 | 57% | 2016-03-11 | Won |
930 | 1012 | 38% | 2016-01-17 | Won |
937 | 1053 | 34% | 2015-03-22 | Won |
1128 | 1054 | 60% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
1005 | 1015 | 49% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
921 | 951 | 46% | 2012-10-07 | Won |
998 | 937 | 59% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
1130 | 986 | 70% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
1005 | 983 | 53% | 2011-04-06 | Lost |
1055 | 1044 | 52% | 2010-06-26 | Won |
1055 | 1091 | 45% | 2010-05-30 | Won |
983 | 1091 | 35% | 2009-10-24 | Won |
1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-01-31 | Won |
937 | 919 | 53% | 2008-12-16 | Won |
1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2008-03-07 | Lost |
1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
1023 | 1310 | 16% | 2006-02-27 | Tied |
1098 | 978 | 67% | 2005-07-09 | Won |
1129 | 1037 | 63% | 2004-04-03 | Won |
996 | 1000 | 49% | 2004-03-07 | Lost |
1260 | 951 | 86% | 2003-09-24 | Won |
1111 | 844 | 82% | 2003-01-24 | Won |
1044 | 1046 | 50% | 2002-03-15 | Won |
1048 | 1092 | 44% | 2000-09-09 | Won |
1111 | 1110 | 50% | 1994-08-22 | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 1020.3 has a 53.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).