The Old Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (18 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Partisan): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 971 | 52% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1108 | 912 | 76% | 2020-02-16 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2018-03-20 | Won |
| 1089 | 954 | 69% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 971 | 956 | 52% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1009 | 78% | 2014-07-05 | Won |
| 922 | 1183 | 18% | 2013-11-02 | Won |
| 1046 | 1139 | 37% | 2011-08-28 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2010-02-25 | Won |
| 1009 | 1021 | 48% | 2008-07-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-29 | Won |
| 1196 | 902 | 84% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 928 | 908 | 53% | 2004-06-09 | Won |
| 830 | 1139 | 14% | 2002-06-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1139 | 47% | 1995-03-10 | Won |
| 866 | 1028 | 28% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1104 | 1090 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1030.6 vs 1020.6 has a 51.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).