The Old Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (17 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Partisan): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1107 | 911 | 76% | 2020-02-16 | Won |
| 1024 | 1056 | 45% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2018-03-20 | Won |
| 1081 | 975 | 65% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 1000 | 958 | 56% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1009 | 78% | 2014-07-05 | Won |
| 918 | 1058 | 31% | 2013-11-02 | Won |
| 1052 | 1041 | 52% | 2011-08-28 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2010-02-25 | Won |
| 1083 | 992 | 63% | 2008-07-16 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1051 | 57% | 2006-01-29 | Won |
| 927 | 908 | 53% | 2004-06-09 | Won |
| 831 | 1204 | 10% | 2002-06-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1204 | 38% | 1995-03-10 | Won |
| 866 | 1045 | 26% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1022.5 vs 1020.8 has a 50.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).