The Old Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (17 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (Partisan): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1108 | 911 | 76% | 2020-02-16 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2018-03-20 | Won |
| 1080 | 1009 | 60% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 988 | 958 | 54% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1233 | 984 | 81% | 2014-07-05 | Won |
| 941 | 1070 | 32% | 2013-11-02 | Won |
| 1087 | 967 | 67% | 2011-08-28 | Won |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2010-02-25 | Won |
| 955 | 960 | 49% | 2008-07-16 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-29 | Won |
| 949 | 908 | 56% | 2004-06-09 | Won |
| 833 | 1170 | 13% | 2002-06-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1170 | 43% | 1995-03-10 | Won |
| 867 | 1003 | 31% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1021.3 vs 1006.4 has a 52.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).