The Old Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (18 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (Partisan): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 909 | 61% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 912 | 74% | 2020-02-16 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2018-03-20 | Won |
| 1044 | 961 | 62% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 909 | 956 | 43% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1010 | 78% | 2014-07-05 | Won |
| 877 | 1194 | 14% | 2013-11-02 | Won |
| 1047 | 1064 | 48% | 2011-08-28 | Won |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2010-02-25 | Won |
| 1018 | 950 | 60% | 2008-07-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1051 | 57% | 2006-01-29 | Won |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 927 | 908 | 53% | 2004-06-09 | Won |
| 840 | 1162 | 14% | 2002-06-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1162 | 44% | 1995-03-10 | Won |
| 866 | 1036 | 27% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1018.9 vs 1021.9 has a 49.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).