A Bridgehead Too Wet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (10 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (British): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-09-25 | Won |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2019-01-21 | Lost |
| 946 | 947 | 50% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1064 | 62% | 2016-07-10 | Won |
| 1050 | 1020 | 54% | 2014-02-27 | Won |
| 1020 | 1050 | 46% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2008-02-02 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1200 | 38% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1048.1 has a 49.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).