The Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Norwegian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 850 | 868 | 47% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1241 | 1258 | 48% | 2024-12-24 | Lost |
| 958 | 1009 | 43% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 950 | 994 | 44% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 980 | 52% | 2017-01-19 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1094 | 51% | 2011-11-23 | Won |
| 1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1058 | 748 | 86% | 2010-05-28 | Lost |
| 748 | 943 | 25% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1122 | 1118 | 51% | 2005-04-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 1241 | 27% | 1998-08-30 | Won |
| 973 | 984 | 48% | 1991-03-08 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1014.6 vs 1033.4 has a 47.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).