The Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Norwegian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 850 | 868 | 47% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1193 | 1080 | 66% | 2024-12-24 | Lost |
| 932 | 1028 | 37% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 1061 | 937 | 67% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 982 | 994 | 48% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 927 | 979 | 43% | 2017-01-19 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1043 | 53% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1100 | 1093 | 51% | 2011-11-23 | Won |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1065 | 741 | 87% | 2010-05-28 | Lost |
| 741 | 949 | 23% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1127 | 1119 | 51% | 2005-04-02 | Won |
| 1045 | 1193 | 30% | 1998-08-30 | Won |
| 1061 | 985 | 61% | 1991-03-08 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1019.5 vs 1013.7 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).