The Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Norwegian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 850 | 868 | 47% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1170 | 1055 | 66% | 2024-12-24 | Lost |
| 934 | 1063 | 32% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1023 | 49% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1054 | 994 | 59% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 928 | 966 | 45% | 2017-01-19 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1043 | 54% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1101 | 1094 | 51% | 2011-11-23 | Won |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1098 | 980 | 66% | 2010-05-28 | Lost |
| 980 | 948 | 55% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1159 | 1119 | 56% | 2005-04-02 | Won |
| 1045 | 1170 | 33% | 1998-08-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 984 | 55% | 1991-03-08 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1026.8 has a 51.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).