The Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Norwegian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 850 | 868 | 47% | 2025-03-21 | Won |
| 1189 | 1180 | 51% | 2024-12-24 | Lost |
| 959 | 1010 | 43% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 1020 | 964 | 58% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 995 | 994 | 50% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 980 | 53% | 2017-01-19 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1043 | 51% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1100 | 1094 | 51% | 2011-11-23 | Won |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1060 | 764 | 85% | 2010-05-28 | Lost |
| 764 | 946 | 26% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1115 | 1119 | 49% | 2005-04-02 | Won |
| 1051 | 1189 | 31% | 1998-08-30 | Won |
| 1020 | 985 | 55% | 1991-03-08 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1019.5 vs 1022.4 has a 49.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).