Birds of Prey
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Belgian): 10
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 995 | 748 | 81% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 748 | 995 | 19% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1051 | 948 | 64% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 1266 | 1017 | 81% | 2020-07-02 | Lost |
| 1035 | 906 | 68% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
| 973 | 1031 | 42% | 2018-10-17 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1116 | 43% | 2018-10-17 | Lost |
| 861 | 951 | 37% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
| 748 | 973 | 21% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 1266 | 938 | 87% | 2013-10-28 | Won |
| 1078 | 1128 | 43% | 2013-07-13 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1085 | 43% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
| 949 | 973 | 47% | 2010-08-13 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1015 | 62% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
| 1062 | 1073 | 48% | 2007-05-25 | Won |
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2006-04-07 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-12-05 | Lost |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2002-02-09 | Won |
| 1241 | 1118 | 67% | 1995-06-18 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1013.7 vs 992.7 has a 53.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).