Toujours L'Audace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (22 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 89
Defender wins (Belgian): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1111 | 42% | 2022-10-28 | Lost |
| 947 | 900 | 57% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-01-15 | Won |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 909 | 1010 | 36% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 1107 | 57% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 1034 | 1110 | 39% | 2015-05-13 | Won |
| 846 | 1014 | 28% | 2014-08-07 | Won |
| 1038 | 1191 | 29% | 2014-06-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 918 | 55% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-06-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-09 | Won |
| 1097 | 1112 | 48% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
| 1047 | 972 | 61% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
| 989 | 1060 | 40% | 2009-07-25 | Lost |
| 946 | 891 | 58% | 2006-01-31 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1050 | 53% | 1999-07-19 | Won |
| 1050 | 1070 | 47% | 1999-06-28 | Won |
| 1028 | 866 | 72% | 1998-05-10 | Won |
| 911 | 1200 | 16% | 1993-08-27 | Won |
| 985 | 1014 | 46% | 1991-03-02 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1008.3 vs 1036.2 has a 45.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).