Toujours L'Audace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 140 (24 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 90
Defender wins (Belgian): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 974 | 60% | 2021-11-15 | | Won |
| 998 | 823 | 73% | 2020-11-21 | | Won |
| 1161 | 1000 | 72% | 2020-01-15 | | Won |
| 1080 | 958 | 67% | 2019-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1010 | 51% | 2019-01-04 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-10-02 | | Won |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2016-04-03 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1229 | 25% | 2015-05-13 | | Won |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2014-08-07 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1081 | 41% | 2014-06-04 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2012-11-24 | | Lost |
| 910 | 1000 | 37% | 2012-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-03-09 | | Won |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2010-06-01 | | Won |
| 1047 | 888 | 71% | 2009-08-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 988 | 52% | 2009-07-25 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2006-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 1999-07-19 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 1999-06-28 | | Won |
| 1211 | 1000 | 77% | 1998-05-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 1993-08-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 1991-03-02 | | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | 1988-01-02 | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1031.6 vs 1010.8 has a 52.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).