Toujours L'Audace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 140 (24 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 90
Defender wins (Belgian): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1086 | 46% | 2022-10-28 | Lost |
| 1047 | 959 | 62% | 2021-11-15 | Won |
| 914 | 872 | 56% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2020-01-15 | Won |
| 1075 | 967 | 65% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 933 | 1010 | 39% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 1107 | 57% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-05-13 | Won |
| 850 | 1203 | 12% | 2014-08-07 | Won |
| 1033 | 1045 | 48% | 2014-06-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 918 | 55% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
| 880 | 959 | 39% | 2012-06-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-09 | Won |
| 1102 | 1112 | 49% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
| 1047 | 1044 | 50% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
| 988 | 1153 | 28% | 2009-07-25 | Lost |
| 948 | 994 | 43% | 2006-01-31 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1060 | 51% | 1999-07-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 1999-06-28 | Won |
| 1097 | 867 | 79% | 1998-05-10 | Won |
| 911 | 1071 | 28% | 1993-08-27 | Won |
| 984 | 985 | 50% | 1991-03-02 | Won |
| 1086 | 1086 | 50% | 1988-01-02 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1020.8 vs 1039.2 has a 47.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).