Toujours L'Audace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (20 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 87
Defender wins (Belgian): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1157 | 36% | 2022-10-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 881 | 63% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-01-15 | Won |
| 1023 | 1011 | 52% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 930 | 1009 | 39% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 1107 | 57% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 1030 | 1131 | 36% | 2015-05-13 | Won |
| 847 | 939 | 37% | 2014-08-07 | Won |
| 1016 | 1128 | 34% | 2014-06-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 918 | 55% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
| 911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-06-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-09 | Won |
| 1090 | 1113 | 47% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
| 1047 | 933 | 66% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
| 989 | 982 | 51% | 2009-07-25 | Lost |
| 955 | 937 | 53% | 2006-01-31 | Lost |
| 1072 | 866 | 77% | 1998-05-10 | Won |
| 911 | 1111 | 24% | 1993-08-27 | Won |
| 983 | 1005 | 47% | 1991-03-02 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1007.5 vs 1018.9 has a 48.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).