Toujours L'Audace
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (19 on the archive and 116 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 86
Defender wins (Belgian): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2022-10-28 | Lost |
1032 | 780 | 81% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-01-15 | Won |
988 | 1031 | 44% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
1013 | 1008 | 51% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
1158 | 1107 | 57% | 2017-10-02 | Won |
1125 | 1125 | 50% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
1030 | 1175 | 30% | 2015-05-13 | Won |
847 | 926 | 39% | 2014-08-07 | Won |
1016 | 1104 | 38% | 2014-06-04 | Lost |
952 | 919 | 55% | 2012-11-24 | Lost |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-06-17 | Lost |
1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-09 | Won |
1090 | 1114 | 47% | 2010-06-01 | Won |
1047 | 968 | 61% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
989 | 1008 | 47% | 2009-07-25 | Lost |
924 | 968 | 44% | 2006-01-31 | Lost |
1083 | 865 | 78% | 1998-05-10 | Won |
990 | 1006 | 48% | 1991-03-02 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1019.7 vs 1011.6 has a 51.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).