The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (15 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (Italian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 940 | 75% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1083 | 53% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 1023 | 981 | 56% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1120 | 47% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1075 | 967 | 65% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1107 | 1147 | 44% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-10-01 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2007-05-21 | Won |
| 1263 | 1257 | 51% | 2004-08-02 | Won |
| 1342 | 1006 | 87% | 2001-06-28 | Won |
| 1056 | 1096 | 44% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1110 | 42% | 1995-01-21 | Won |
| 1105 | 1097 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1111.7 vs 1078.3 has a 54.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).