The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (15 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (Italian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-01-26 | | Lost |
| 955 | 1036 | 39% | 2020-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-12-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-11-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-11-02 | | Won |
| 917 | 1039 | 33% | 2015-10-01 | | Lost |
| 917 | 1034 | 34% | 2008-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2007-05-21 | | Won |
| 1269 | 1000 | 82% | 2004-08-02 | | Won |
| 1091 | 951 | 69% | 2001-06-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 1998-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 1995-01-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 927 | 60% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1012.9 vs 1002.9 has a 51.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).