The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (12 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Italian): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 890 | 80% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1191 | 37% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1111 | 50% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1096 | 1060 | 55% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
| 1034 | 1110 | 39% | 2015-10-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1277 | 20% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1095 | 44% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1110 | 63% | 1995-01-21 | Won |
| 1117 | 1028 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1079.8 vs 1076.4 has a 50.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).