The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (12 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Italian): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 872 | 82% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1219 | 33% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 986 | 1025 | 44% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1092 | 53% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1094 | 1058 | 55% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
| 1029 | 1106 | 39% | 2015-10-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1259 | 21% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1097 | 44% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1110 | 66% | 1995-01-21 | Won |
| 1116 | 1014 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1087.8 vs 1069.4 has a 52.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).