Smertniki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (15 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 1009 | 34% | 2022-11-21 | | Won |
| 987 | 1052 | 41% | 2019-09-23 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-02-18 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2015-11-19 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2011-07-02 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2010-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2009-12-18 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1192 | 32% | 2006-10-26 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2006-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2001-07-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2000-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 1998-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020.1 vs 1052.9 has a 45.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).