Smertniki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (15 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 1032 | 29% | 2022-11-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1043 | 44% | 2019-09-23 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 963 | 1040 | 39% | 2011-07-02 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1108 | 52% | 2010-11-16 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1248 | 26% | 2006-10-26 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1051 | 52% | 2006-10-19 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2001-07-06 | Lost |
| 972 | 1201 | 21% | 2000-02-12 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 1998-03-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.9 vs 1086.4 has a 41.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).