Smertniki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (15 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (Japanese): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 1050 | 27% | 2022-11-21 | Won |
| 1039 | 1004 | 55% | 2019-09-23 | Won |
| 1029 | 1035 | 49% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
| 1035 | 1110 | 39% | 2015-11-19 | Lost |
| 963 | 925 | 55% | 2011-07-02 | Tied |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2010-11-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1159 | 31% | 2006-10-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | 2006-10-19 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2001-07-06 | Lost |
| 972 | 1189 | 22% | 2000-02-12 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1014 | 57% | 1998-03-01 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1030.9 vs 1062.6 has a 45.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).