The Rock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (16 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1119 | 43% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 979 | 59% | 2018-06-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-05-30 | Lost |
| 1099 | 943 | 71% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 941 | 1022 | 39% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 962 | 948 | 52% | 2015-05-14 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1022 | 51% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1120 | 1108 | 52% | 2014-07-24 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1159 | 41% | 2007-07-12 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2001-05-15 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1118 | 58% | 1995-07-23 | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1119 | 38% | | Won |
| 1036 | 1039 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1031.2 vs 1055.7 has a 46.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).