The Rock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (15 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1073 | 47% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1051 | 919 | 68% | 2018-06-13 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2017-05-30 | Lost |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 893 | 1121 | 21% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 1032 | 943 | 63% | 2015-05-14 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1005 | 55% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1121 | 1094 | 54% | 2014-07-24 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1133 | 43% | 2007-07-12 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1118 | 65% | 1995-07-23 | Won |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1118 | 50% | | Won |
| 1117 | 1011 | 65% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1057.6 has a 53.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).