The Rock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (14 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 44
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1080 | 44% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1107 | 41% | 2017-05-30 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1030 | 47% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 954 | 1030 | 39% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 762 | 954 | 25% | 2015-05-14 | Lost |
| 1053 | 985 | 60% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1120 | 1094 | 54% | 2014-07-24 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1128 | 37% | 2007-07-12 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1118 | 52% | 1995-07-23 | Won |
| 1113 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
| 1113 | 1160 | 43% | | Lost |
| 1160 | 1113 | 57% | | Lost |
| 1113 | 1118 | 49% | | Won |
| 1113 | 977 | 69% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 1063.9 has a 48.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).