Descent into Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (New Zealand / British): 24
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand / British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 987 | 53% | 2023-11-30 | Lost |
| 955 | 1049 | 37% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1116 | 38% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 976 | 912 | 59% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1005 | 56% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2019-12-17 | Lost |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2016-11-27 | Won |
| 1094 | 1058 | 55% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1112 | 829 | 84% | 2002-04-24 | Won |
| 1223 | 919 | 85% | 1993-06-18 | Tied |
| 984 | 1025 | 44% | 1993-01-01 | Tied |
| 938 | 1117 | 26% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1036.9 vs 1000.4 has a 55.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).