Slamming of the Door
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (44 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 63
Defender wins (German): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1078 | 40% | 2026-06-13 | | Lost |
| 989 | 959 | 54% | 2025-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1187 | 1019 | 72% | 2025-05-05 | | Won |
| 1050 | 1031 | 53% | 2025-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 865 | 69% | 2024-02-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2022-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2021-11-21 | | Won |
| 1243 | 989 | 81% | 2021-10-01 | | Won |
| 974 | 1077 | 36% | 2021-06-08 | | Won |
| 998 | 901 | 64% | 2021-05-17 | | Won |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2021-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1024 | 50% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2020-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1157 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-04-08 | | Won |
| 952 | 1243 | 16% | 2019-06-21 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1068 | 33% | 2019-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1243 | 874 | 89% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 1156 | 972 | 74% | 2018-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-02-09 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2017-10-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2017-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2017-03-04 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2017-02-08 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2016-11-01 | | Won |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2016-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2016-07-19 | | Lost |
| 980 | 1021 | 44% | 2015-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2015-06-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2015-06-24 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2015-04-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2015-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2015-02-05 | | Won |
| 886 | 966 | 39% | 2014-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2014-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 876 | 79% | 2013-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2013-06-01 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1243 | 38% | 2012-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2012-09-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2010-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2009-10-18 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1064 | 89% | 2006-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2003-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 1999-02-13 | | Won |
| 1086 | 967 | 66% | | | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1034.5 has a 52.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).