Slamming of the Door
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (44 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 63
Defender wins (German): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1059 | 43% | 2026-06-13 | | Lost |
| 978 | 959 | 53% | 2025-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1194 | 1019 | 73% | 2025-05-05 | | Won |
| 1050 | 1022 | 54% | 2025-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 865 | 69% | 2024-02-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2022-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2021-11-21 | | Won |
| 1284 | 978 | 85% | 2021-10-01 | | Won |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2021-06-08 | | Won |
| 998 | 901 | 64% | 2021-05-17 | | Won |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1024 | 49% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2020-12-31 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-04-08 | | Won |
| 952 | 1284 | 13% | 2019-06-21 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1068 | 33% | 2019-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1284 | 874 | 91% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 1117 | 1098 | 53% | 2018-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 1000 | 70% | 2018-02-09 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2017-10-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2017-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2017-03-04 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2017-02-08 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2016-11-01 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2016-07-19 | | Lost |
| 980 | 954 | 54% | 2015-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2015-06-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2015-06-24 | | Won |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2015-04-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2015-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2015-02-05 | | Won |
| 892 | 921 | 46% | 2014-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2014-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 876 | 79% | 2013-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2013-06-01 | | Won |
| 1117 | 1284 | 28% | 2012-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2012-09-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1004 | 49% | 2010-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2009-10-18 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1054 | 90% | 2006-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2003-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 1999-02-13 | | Won |
| 1086 | 957 | 68% | | | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1049.6 vs 1034.8 has a 52.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).