Debacle at Korosten
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 1141 | 53% | 2026-01-03 | Lost |
| 1013 | 980 | 55% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 1186 | 1256 | 40% | 2021-10-21 | Lost |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2021-06-09 | Lost |
| 1049 | 992 | 58% | 2018-06-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 959 | 64% | 2017-06-07 | Won |
| 854 | 910 | 42% | 2014-12-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 1041.4 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).