To the Rescue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 151 (31 on the archive and 120 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 76
Defender wins (Russian): 75
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 837 | 1000 | 28% | 2026-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-02-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2023-02-09 | | Won |
| 1042 | 1002 | 56% | 2022-03-01 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2021-10-16 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1219 | 26% | 2019-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-05-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2019-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2019-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2017-08-01 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2015-12-12 | | Won |
| 698 | 1073 | 10% | 2015-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2015-02-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2012-02-27 | | Won |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2009-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2009-08-01 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2009-07-18 | | Won |
| 1103 | 904 | 76% | 2008-01-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 915 | 62% | 2008-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2007-09-16 | | Won |
| 917 | 1076 | 29% | 2006-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2006-02-05 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2006-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1205 | 1060 | 70% | 2006-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2003-12-13 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1141 | 30% | 2002-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2002-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1161 | 47% | 2001-05-15 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2000-01-10 | | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1054.9 vs 1021.4 has a 54.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).