To the Rescue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1219 | 22% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 850 | 72% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1041 | 1028 | 52% | 2022-03-01 | Won |
| 1079 | 913 | 72% | 2021-10-16 | Won |
| 1038 | 1274 | 20% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2019-05-03 | Won |
| 991 | 1041 | 43% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2017-08-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1132 | 48% | 2015-12-12 | Won |
| 756 | 1074 | 14% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2015-02-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1006 | 53% | 2012-02-27 | Won |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2009-08-25 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1186 | 43% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 1184 | 44% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
| 1103 | 905 | 76% | 2008-01-30 | Won |
| 991 | 920 | 60% | 2008-01-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1005 | 78% | 2007-09-16 | Won |
| 917 | 1076 | 29% | 2006-07-30 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2006-02-05 | Won |
| 1068 | 1053 | 52% | 2006-01-24 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1068 | 72% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 978 | 1140 | 28% | 2002-11-01 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1084 | 46% | 2002-04-27 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1158 | 54% | 2001-05-15 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-01-18 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2000-01-10 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1051.8 vs 1065.6 has a 48.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).