Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 973 | 58% | 2024-12-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1148 | 902 | 80% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 1055 | 1067 | 48% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 1058 | 40% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 968 | 1017 | 43% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-09-27 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2003-11-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1060.1 has a 45.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).