Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 986 | 64% | 2024-12-29 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2024-12-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1178 | 57% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 1042 | 1048 | 49% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 980 | 54% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 924 | 1063 | 31% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-09-27 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1132 | 64% | 2008-05-09 | Lost |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2003-11-25 | Won |
| 994 | 1101 | 35% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1061.2 has a 45.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).