Festung St. Edouard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (16 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German (SS)): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2024-12-29 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2024-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2023-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1191 | 1000 | 75% | 2023-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-12-22 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1048 | 63% | 2022-05-15 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 969 | 56% | 2022-04-22 | | Won |
| 937 | 1069 | 32% | 2016-10-22 | | Lost |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2009-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2008-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2008-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2003-11-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1997-12-07 | | Won |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1045.1 has a 48.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).