The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (British): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1019 | 980 | 56% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 750 | 1206 | 7% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 975 | 1018 | 44% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1052 | 983 | 60% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
| 1234 | 970 | 82% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1270 | 1036 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 1105 | 49% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1162 | 51% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1160 | 45% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
| 993 | 1101 | 35% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1055 vs 1048.5 has a 50.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).