The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (British): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 994 | 53% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 753 | 1193 | 7% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1051 | 1061 | 49% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
| 1316 | 968 | 88% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1259 | 1029 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1091 | 51% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1223 | 36% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1133 | 52% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1055 vs 1066.4 has a 48.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).