The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (British): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 978 | 62% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 755 | 1226 | 6% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1018 | 55% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1051 | 1045 | 51% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
| 1274 | 968 | 85% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1269 | 1036 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 1091 | 51% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1184 | 46% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1159 | 46% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1059.1 has a 52.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).