The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (British): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1011 | 54% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 748 | 1266 | 5% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
| 1310 | 968 | 88% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1259 | 1029 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1091 | 51% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1241 | 33% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1122 | 54% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.9 vs 1077.3 has a 47.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).