Hervorst Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (6 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 23
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 957 | 50% | 2023-02-04 | Won |
| 1302 | 1096 | 77% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
| 1023 | 865 | 71% | 2011-12-28 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1158 | 39% | 2009-07-08 | Lost |
| 1108 | 974 | 68% | 2008-02-22 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1121 | 62% | 2003-12-10 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1112.7 vs 1028.5 has a 61.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).