Bogged Down
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (9 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-01-01 | | Lost |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-04-17 | | Won |
| 845 | 980 | 31% | 2016-12-11 | | Lost |
| 845 | 980 | 31% | 2016-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2013-05-16 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 2012-10-01 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1140 | 54% | 2002-06-19 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2001-07-24 | | Won |
| 919 | 1070 | 30% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 986 vs 1023.8 has a 44.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).