The Ring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (20 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2025-06-02 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1207 | 50% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 940 | 1123 | 26% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 940 | 1123 | 26% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1091 | 44% | 2015-02-12 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1183 | 45% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1145 | 927 | 78% | 2012-09-03 | Lost |
| 927 | 984 | 42% | 2012-03-12 | Won |
| 1144 | 954 | 75% | 2012-02-10 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1039 | 72% | 2011-03-07 | Won |
| 1196 | 1045 | 70% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1203 | 1079 | 67% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1065.5 vs 1081.5 has a 47.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).