The Ring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (19 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1266 | 19% | 2025-06-02 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1168 | 46% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 869 | 1199 | 13% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 869 | 1199 | 13% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1080 | 41% | 2015-02-12 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1111 | 48% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1094 | 1111 | 48% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1145 | 928 | 78% | 2012-09-03 | Lost |
| 928 | 984 | 42% | 2012-03-12 | Won |
| 1144 | 929 | 78% | 2012-02-10 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2011-03-07 | Won |
| 1241 | 1065 | 73% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1071.6 has a 46.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).