The Ring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (20 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1225 | 24% | 2025-06-02 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1162 | 46% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 984 | 1088 | 35% | 2015-02-12 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1186 | 43% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1117 | 49% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1107 | 1117 | 49% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1143 | 907 | 80% | 2012-09-03 | Lost |
| 907 | 984 | 39% | 2012-03-12 | Won |
| 1144 | 909 | 79% | 2012-02-10 | Lost |
| 1215 | 1070 | 70% | 2011-03-07 | Won |
| 1113 | 1048 | 59% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1077.2 has a 46.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).