The Ring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (20 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 911 | 1213 | 15% | 2025-06-02 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 998 | 1054 | 42% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 998 | 1054 | 42% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1218 | 20% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 951 | 982 | 46% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
| 970 | 1106 | 31% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1088 | 44% | 2015-02-12 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1185 | 44% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1117 | 49% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1108 | 1117 | 49% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1144 | 927 | 78% | 2012-09-03 | Lost |
| 927 | 984 | 42% | 2012-03-12 | Won |
| 1144 | 962 | 74% | 2012-02-10 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1049 | 75% | 2011-03-07 | Won |
| 1176 | 1049 | 68% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1058.5 vs 1069.6 has a 48.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).