The Ring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (20 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1257 | 15% | 2025-06-02 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1169 | 50% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 893 | 1203 | 14% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 893 | 1203 | 14% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1091 | 46% | 2015-02-12 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1183 | 46% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1117 | 47% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1096 | 1117 | 47% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1144 | 928 | 78% | 2012-09-03 | Lost |
| 928 | 984 | 42% | 2012-03-12 | Won |
| 1145 | 953 | 75% | 2012-02-10 | Lost |
| 1145 | 998 | 70% | 2011-03-07 | Won |
| 1193 | 1045 | 70% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1049.6 vs 1081 has a 45.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).