Directive Number Three
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1011 | 53% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 996 | 996 | 50% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1099 | 1019 | 61% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
| 1190 | 944 | 80% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 955 | 1011 | 42% | 2019-03-14 | Won |
| 995 | 1242 | 19% | 2017-07-30 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1205 | 25% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-11-06 | Lost |
| 1080 | 996 | 62% | 2016-04-12 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1311 | 16% | 2016-02-03 | Tied |
| 1037 | 978 | 58% | 2012-07-01 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1139 | 31% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1083 | 52% | 2011-01-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 918 | 62% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1182 | 1033 | 70% | 2007-11-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 867 | 1058 | 25% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
| 939 | 1087 | 30% | 1998-06-13 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1228 | 25% | 1997-10-19 | Won |
| 1228 | 1013 | 78% | 1997-10-18 | Won |
| 1138 | 986 | 71% | 1997-04-19 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1068.6 has a 47.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).