Directive Number Three
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1034 | 988 | 57% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1267 | 962 | 85% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 955 | 962 | 49% | 2019-03-14 | Won |
| 995 | 1242 | 19% | 2017-07-30 | Lost |
| 962 | 1188 | 21% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-11-06 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1307 | 16% | 2016-02-03 | Tied |
| 1037 | 977 | 59% | 2012-07-01 | Lost |
| 855 | 1103 | 19% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1081 | 49% | 2011-01-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1115 | 34% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1123 | 1033 | 63% | 2007-11-11 | Won |
| 865 | 1075 | 23% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
| 943 | 1138 | 25% | 1998-06-13 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1228 | 25% | 1997-10-19 | Won |
| 1228 | 1013 | 78% | 1997-10-18 | Won |
| 1084 | 986 | 64% | 1997-04-19 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1087.4 has a 42.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).