Directive Number Three
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 164 (17 on the archive and 147 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 79
Defender wins (German): 84
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
1160 | 1010 | 70% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2019-03-14 | Won |
995 | 1242 | 19% | 2017-07-30 | Lost |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2017-06-20 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2016-11-06 | Lost |
1226 | 1307 | 39% | 2016-02-03 | Tied |
1037 | 954 | 62% | 2012-07-01 | Lost |
838 | 1095 | 19% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
1095 | 1080 | 52% | 2011-01-08 | Won |
1000 | 1115 | 34% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
1176 | 1033 | 69% | 2007-11-11 | Won |
865 | 1063 | 24% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
945 | 1087 | 31% | 1998-06-13 | Lost |
1034 | 1227 | 25% | 1997-10-19 | Won |
1227 | 1013 | 77% | 1997-10-18 | Won |
1142 | 986 | 71% | 1997-04-19 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1060.3 vs 1099.1 has a 44.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).