Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (9 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (New Zealand): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1030 | 38% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
| 991 | 1216 | 21% | 2013-12-29 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2012-03-23 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1101 | 49% | 2012-03-20 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1030 | 50% | 2010-05-12 | Won |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2008-03-26 | Won |
| 900 | 993 | 37% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 1097 | 873 | 78% | 1990-05-22 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1025.3 vs 1038.4 has a 48.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).