Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (8 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (New Zealand): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
991 | 1160 | 27% | 2013-12-29 | Lost |
1097 | 1094 | 50% | 2012-03-23 | Lost |
1094 | 1097 | 50% | 2012-03-20 | Lost |
1013 | 1010 | 50% | 2010-05-12 | Won |
1043 | 984 | 58% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
850 | 992 | 31% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
1063 | 870 | 75% | 1990-05-22 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1009.4 vs 1051.4 has a 43.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).