Midnight Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 964 | 58% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1167 | 1186 | 47% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 986 | 926 | 59% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 1051 | 57% | 2006-01-09 | Won |
| 914 | 1046 | 32% | 2002-05-27 | Won |
| 1046 | 846 | 76% | 2001-02-01 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1050 | 50% | 1999-02-17 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1036.4 vs 1012.8 has a 53.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).