Midnight Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (9 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (American): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 932 | 1097 | 28% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1227 | 1184 | 56% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 987 | 930 | 58% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 977 | 1249 | 17% | 2014-11-11 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1051 | 57% | 2006-01-09 | Won |
| 913 | 1053 | 31% | 2002-05-27 | Won |
| 1053 | 910 | 69% | 2001-02-01 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1068 | 47% | 1999-02-17 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.7 vs 1059.9 has a 45.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).