Midnight Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 1076 | 31% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 983 | 920 | 59% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1098 | 1041 | 58% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 986 | 935 | 57% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-09 | Won |
| 918 | 959 | 44% | 2002-05-27 | Won |
| 959 | 840 | 66% | 2001-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 997.1 vs 974.4 has a 53.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).