Midnight Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (11 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (American): 31
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 1042 | 54% | 2026-06-26 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1226 | 24% | 2026-06-14 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1007 | 54% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 993 | 1039 | 43% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1228 | 1042 | 74% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 987 | 930 | 58% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 961 | 1263 | 15% | 2014-11-11 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-09 | Won |
| 913 | 1019 | 35% | 2002-05-27 | Won |
| 1019 | 886 | 68% | 2001-02-01 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1060 | 48% | 1999-02-17 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1034.5 vs 1051.3 has a 47.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).