Midnight Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (9 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (American): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1048 | 947 | 64% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1226 | 1193 | 55% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 987 | 930 | 58% | 2018-01-01 | Won |
| 963 | 1264 | 15% | 2014-11-11 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-09 | Won |
| 913 | 1034 | 33% | 2002-05-27 | Won |
| 1034 | 910 | 67% | 2001-02-01 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1059 | 49% | 1999-02-17 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1043.8 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).