Last Act in Lorraine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (6 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1041 | 50% | 2007-09-11 | Won |
| 1167 | 830 | 87% | 2003-04-03 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1069 | 64% | 2002-10-30 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2001-09-25 | Won |
| 1061 | 846 | 78% | 2000-08-30 | Won |
| 911 | 1167 | 19% | 1993-08-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1065.7 vs 994.5 has a 60.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).