A Meeting of Patrols
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (27 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 63
Defender wins (German (SS)): 70
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2024-07-03 | | Tied |
| 1224 | 901 | 87% | 2023-12-16 | | Won |
| 1052 | 987 | 59% | 2023-03-15 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-11-25 | | Lost |
| 786 | 1021 | 21% | 2022-06-24 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1085 | 31% | 2020-09-11 | | Lost |
| 993 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-04-22 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2019-03-30 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2016-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2014-10-31 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2013-12-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2013-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1134 | 39% | 2013-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2012-03-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1134 | 64% | 2007-01-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2006-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-03-01 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2006-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2004-10-04 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1096 | 35% | 2002-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1160 | 49% | 2001-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1042.9 has a 49.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).