A Meeting of Patrols
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-07-03 | Tied |
| 1220 | 900 | 86% | 2023-12-16 | Won |
| 1099 | 943 | 71% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 888 | 809 | 61% | 2022-11-25 | Lost |
| 786 | 1005 | 22% | 2022-06-24 | Lost |
| 950 | 1083 | 32% | 2020-09-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 1004 | 48% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1131 | 1023 | 65% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1001 | 964 | 55% | 2019-03-30 | Won |
| 964 | 1056 | 37% | 2016-12-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2014-10-31 | Lost |
| 963 | 984 | 47% | 2013-12-04 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1083 | 48% | 2013-11-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1134 | 28% | 2013-09-17 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2012-03-17 | Won |
| 1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-09-21 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-02-25 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2007-01-29 | Won |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2006-10-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-03-01 | Tied |
| 1077 | 1060 | 52% | 2006-01-06 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1077 | 48% | 2004-10-04 | Lost |
| 987 | 1096 | 35% | 2002-01-11 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1161 | 50% | 2001-11-17 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1070 | 44% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1040.4 vs 1045.8 has a 49.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).