Lash Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American / British): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 892 | 1204 | 14% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1204 | 998 | 77% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 1204 | 1243 | 44% | 2024-06-20 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1018 | 52% | 2023-11-09 | Lost |
| 998 | 1076 | 39% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 1087 | 993 | 63% | 2021-09-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 1022 | 50% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1132 | 1141 | 49% | 2021-03-25 | Won |
| 1241 | 831 | 91% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 1006 | 913 | 63% | 2020-12-24 | Lost |
| 885 | 1199 | 14% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1017 | 81% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 906 | 1057 | 30% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2017-09-13 | Won |
| 909 | 1019 | 35% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 906 | 987 | 39% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 973 | 984 | 48% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1098 | 39% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-07-20 | Won |
| 1126 | 1045 | 61% | 2009-05-22 | Lost |
| 1136 | 897 | 80% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
| 1050 | 1098 | 43% | 2005-10-16 | Lost |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2004-11-07 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1241 | 23% | 2001-07-08 | Lost |
| 1122 | 977 | 70% | 1997-01-16 | Won |
| 1106 | 1122 | 48% | 1995-10-05 | Won |
| 934 | 1098 | 28% | 1993-08-11 | Won |
| 984 | 973 | 52% | 1991-12-03 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1000 | 68% | | Lost |
| 1131 | 847 | 84% | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1056.9 vs 1055.9 has a 50.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).