Lash Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American / British): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 1180 | 16% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1062 | 66% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 1180 | 1243 | 41% | 2024-06-20 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1018 | 52% | 2023-11-09 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1041 | 53% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1013 | 52% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 1106 | 875 | 79% | 2021-09-29 | Won |
| 1045 | 1027 | 53% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1109 | 805 | 85% | 2021-03-25 | Won |
| 1153 | 828 | 87% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 1006 | 917 | 63% | 2020-12-24 | Lost |
| 902 | 1183 | 17% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1270 | 991 | 83% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 974 | 1058 | 38% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2017-09-13 | Won |
| 909 | 976 | 40% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 974 | 987 | 48% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 984 | 52% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1100 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-07-20 | Won |
| 1127 | 1044 | 62% | 2009-05-22 | Lost |
| 1137 | 960 | 73% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
| 1050 | 1100 | 43% | 2005-10-16 | Lost |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2004-11-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1153 | 32% | 2001-07-08 | Lost |
| 1143 | 977 | 72% | 1997-01-16 | Won |
| 1103 | 1143 | 44% | 1995-10-05 | Won |
| 934 | 1100 | 28% | 1993-08-11 | Won |
| 984 | 999 | 48% | 1991-12-03 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1000 | 65% | | Lost |
| 1104 | 830 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 1039.7 has a 52.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).