ASL Scenario Archive

Lash Out

Games with no balance used/recorded: 282 (39 on the archive and 243 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (German): 126

Defender wins (American / British): 156

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
951	948	50%	2026-05-03	Lost
893	1218	13%	2024-06-23	Lost
1218	1017	76%	2024-06-21	Won
1218	1000	78%	2024-06-20	Won
1227	1000	79%	2024-04-08	Won
1139	1000	69%	2024-03-10	Lost
1000	1139	31%	2024-02-25	Lost
1047	1000	57%	2023-11-09	Lost
1017	939	61%	2023-09-08	Lost
987	1052	41%	2022-12-21	Won
1088	1000	62%	2022-10-30	Lost
1103	966	69%	2021-09-29	Won
1035	1000	55%	2021-09-05	Won
1098	1000	64%	2021-03-25	Won
1140	808	87%	2021-02-04	Won
1006	943	59%	2020-12-24	Lost
907	1075	28%	2020-04-03	Lost
1217	1156	59%	2020-02-29	Won
951	1000	43%	2020-01-17	Won
1219	1171	57%	2017-09-13	Won
1000	1008	49%	2017-05-18	Lost
951	1002	43%	2016-09-23	Lost
952	1000	43%	2015-07-03	Won
1088	1000	62%	2013-03-24	Lost
1018	1101	38%	2013-03-16	Lost
1000	973	54%	2009-07-20	Won
1000	1045	44%	2009-05-22	Lost
1000	1015	48%	2006-10-27	Won
1000	1101	36%	2005-10-16	Lost
1000	1101	36%	2004-11-07	Lost
1000	1140	31%	2001-07-08	Lost
1040	1000	56%	1999-11-10	Won
1344	919	92%	1999-01-16	Won
1100	1000	64%	1997-01-16	Won
1102	1100	50%	1995-10-05	Won
1000	1101	36%	1993-08-11	Won
1000	952	57%	1991-12-03	Lost
1086	1000	62%		Lost
1086	832	81%		Lost

Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1057.1 vs 1021.1 has a 55.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).