Lash Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American / British): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 1218 | 13% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1040 | 74% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 1218 | 1243 | 46% | 2024-06-20 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1018 | 52% | 2023-11-09 | Lost |
| 1040 | 980 | 59% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 1103 | 928 | 73% | 2021-09-29 | Won |
| 1052 | 1024 | 54% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2021-03-25 | Won |
| 1177 | 824 | 88% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 1006 | 904 | 64% | 2020-12-24 | Lost |
| 930 | 1079 | 30% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1023 | 79% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2017-09-13 | Won |
| 908 | 1007 | 36% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1018 | 984 | 55% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1101 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-07-20 | Won |
| 1126 | 1044 | 62% | 2009-05-22 | Lost |
| 1136 | 959 | 73% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
| 1051 | 1101 | 43% | 2005-10-16 | Lost |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2004-11-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1177 | 30% | 2001-07-08 | Lost |
| 1159 | 978 | 74% | 1997-01-16 | Won |
| 1102 | 1159 | 42% | 1995-10-05 | Won |
| 939 | 1101 | 28% | 1993-08-11 | Won |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 1991-12-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
| 1032 | 830 | 76% | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1058.6 vs 1048.3 has a 51.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).