Lash Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American / British): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 1189 | 15% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1059 | 68% | 2024-06-21 | Won |
| 1189 | 1243 | 42% | 2024-06-20 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1130 | 50% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1018 | 52% | 2023-11-09 | Lost |
| 1059 | 998 | 59% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2022-12-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 1106 | 953 | 71% | 2021-09-29 | Won |
| 1047 | 1027 | 53% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1113 | 979 | 68% | 2021-03-25 | Won |
| 1185 | 827 | 89% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 1006 | 927 | 61% | 2020-12-24 | Lost |
| 929 | 1148 | 22% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1261 | 979 | 84% | 2020-02-29 | Won |
| 944 | 1058 | 34% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2017-09-13 | Won |
| 908 | 1023 | 34% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 944 | 987 | 44% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1024 | 984 | 56% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1100 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2009-07-20 | Won |
| 1126 | 1044 | 62% | 2009-05-22 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1020 | 66% | 2006-10-27 | Won |
| 1050 | 1100 | 43% | 2005-10-16 | Lost |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2004-11-07 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1185 | 29% | 2001-07-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 977 | 76% | 1997-01-16 | Won |
| 1103 | 1174 | 40% | 1995-10-05 | Won |
| 934 | 1100 | 28% | 1993-08-11 | Won |
| 984 | 1024 | 44% | 1991-12-03 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
| 1118 | 831 | 84% | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1050.3 has a 51.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).