ASL Scenario Archive

Lash Out

Games with no balance used/recorded: 39

Attacker wins (German): 19

Defender wins (American / British): 20

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
964	947	52%	2026-05-03	Lost
893	1218	13%	2024-06-23	Lost
1218	1035	74%	2024-06-21	Won
1218	1244	46%	2024-06-20	Won
1228	1228	50%	2024-04-08	Won
1139	1139	50%	2024-03-10	Lost
1139	1139	50%	2024-02-25	Lost
1047	1018	54%	2023-11-09	Lost
1035	973	59%	2023-09-08	Lost
955	1097	31%	2022-12-21	Won
1088	1088	50%	2022-10-30	Lost
1102	885	78%	2021-09-29	Won
984	1027	44%	2021-09-05	Won
1131	1001	68%	2021-03-25	Won
1113	820	84%	2021-02-04	Won
1007	888	66%	2020-12-24	Lost
902	1083	26%	2020-04-03	Lost
1210	983	79%	2020-02-29	Won
964	1059	37%	2020-01-17	Won
1251	1159	63%	2017-09-13	Won
905	1005	36%	2017-05-18	Lost
964	988	47%	2016-09-23	Lost
996	984	52%	2015-07-03	Won
1088	1088	50%	2013-03-24	Lost
1018	1101	38%	2013-03-16	Lost
974	974	50%	2009-07-20	Won
1125	1045	61%	2009-05-22	Lost
1136	992	70%	2006-10-27	Won
1050	1101	43%	2005-10-16	Lost
613	1101	6%	2004-11-07	Lost
1030	1113	38%	2001-07-08	Lost
1026	1026	50%	1999-11-10	Won
1342	919	92%	1999-01-16	Won
1127	978	70%	1997-01-16	Won
1102	1127	46%	1995-10-05	Won
939	1101	28%	1993-08-11	Won
984	996	48%	1991-12-03	Lost
1039	1000	56%		Lost
1039	833	77%		Lost

Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1053.5 vs 1038.5 has a 52.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).