Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 864 | 77% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 918 | 1011 | 37% | 2020-09-28 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2019-10-22 | Won |
| 1083 | 1123 | 44% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-08-19 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2003-08-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1007.1 vs 1026.1 has a 47.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).