Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 833 | 75% | 2022-11-04 | | Won |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2020-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2019-10-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2006-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2006-08-19 | | Won |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2003-08-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1008.1 vs 995 has a 51.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).