Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 865 | 66% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 1048 | 1156 | 35% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 881 | 1011 | 32% | 2020-09-28 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1011 | 52% | 2019-10-22 | Won |
| 1083 | 1048 | 55% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2006-08-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2003-08-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 998.4 vs 1027.9 has a 45.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).