Blocking Action at Lipki
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1105 | 1028 | 61% | 2025-01-04 | Won |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2023-03-07 | Lost |
| 949 | 902 | 57% | 2020-10-31 | Lost |
| 1226 | 802 | 92% | 2016-11-14 | Won |
| 1108 | 1144 | 45% | 2016-07-19 | Lost |
| 983 | 1056 | 40% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2011-10-29 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1078 | 66% | 2010-05-13 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1106 | 49% | 2009-10-09 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-07-14 | Won |
| 1099 | 1259 | 28% | 2007-07-08 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1416 | 8% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1416 | 8% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2006-12-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 918 | 63% | 2005-09-16 | Won |
| 1159 | 1139 | 53% | 2001-01-06 | Won |
| 1123 | 982 | 69% | 1996-05-21 | Lost |
| 892 | 1028 | 31% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1090 | 52% | | Won |
| 1104 | 1090 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1055.1 vs 1078 has a 46.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).