Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-04-19 | Lost |
| 973 | 1110 | 31% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 949 | 1051 | 36% | 2020-02-04 | Lost |
| 969 | 1117 | 30% | 2019-09-10 | Lost |
| 1110 | 962 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 962 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 962 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 962 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1110 | 962 | 70% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
| 1152 | 1189 | 45% | 2003-07-10 | Won |
| 1137 | 1036 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 995.2 has a 57.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).