Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (31 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 30
Defender wins (German): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1014 | 51% | 2023-10-10 | D | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-05-10 | | Won |
| 1152 | 960 | 75% | 2020-12-10 | | Won |
| 1102 | 878 | 78% | 2020-11-01 | | Won |
| 995 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2019-08-28 | | Won |
| 1055 | 959 | 63% | 2018-09-28 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-08-23 | | Won |
| 1034 | 964 | 60% | 2017-11-11 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2016-01-10 | | Won |
| 1108 | 972 | 69% | 2015-07-26 | | Won |
| 1013 | 952 | 59% | 2015-03-13 | | Won |
| 990 | 699 | 84% | 2015-02-25 | | Won |
| 699 | 990 | 16% | 2015-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1141 | 48% | 2010-10-06 | | Won |
| 1098 | 995 | 64% | 2009-01-01 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1062 | 63% | 2008-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 915 | 62% | 2008-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2007-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2005-10-16 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2005-05-14 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2004-06-14 | | Won |
| 1233 | 940 | 84% | 2004-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2004-03-12 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 978 | 84% | 2000-12-13 | | Won |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2000-12-03 | | Lost |
| 944 | 1080 | 31% | 1999-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1998-04-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 1995-08-01 | | Won |
| 866 | 1100 | 21% | 1995-07-05 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 1993-07-24 | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 1001.7 has a 57.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).