Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (25 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 24
Defender wins (German): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2023-10-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1149 | 960 | 75% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1106 | 875 | 79% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 995 | 924 | 60% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1008 | 58% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1050 | 920 | 68% | 2018-08-23 | Won |
| 1051 | 964 | 62% | 2017-11-11 | Won |
| 1316 | 1062 | 81% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1012 | 1045 | 45% | 2015-03-13 | Won |
| 1029 | 999 | 54% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 967 | 1062 | 37% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 1032 | 920 | 66% | 2008-04-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1120 | 37% | 2007-06-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-10-16 | Won |
| 1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2004-06-14 | Won |
| 1228 | 940 | 84% | 2004-04-21 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2004-03-12 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1065 | 52% | 2000-12-03 | Lost |
| 990 | 1026 | 45% | 1999-05-05 | Lost |
| 875 | 1026 | 30% | 1998-04-28 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1223 | 29% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
| 856 | 1133 | 17% | 1995-07-05 | Lost |
| 1045 | 984 | 59% | 1993-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1055.5 vs 1023.4 has a 54.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).