Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (21 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-10-10 | Won |
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
1157 | 960 | 76% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
1175 | 876 | 85% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
995 | 1012 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
1087 | 1008 | 61% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
998 | 920 | 61% | 2018-08-23 | Won |
1043 | 964 | 61% | 2017-11-11 | Won |
1307 | 1061 | 80% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
1115 | 1005 | 65% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
1012 | 1027 | 48% | 2015-03-13 | Won |
1083 | 1000 | 62% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
987 | 1073 | 38% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
1000 | 919 | 61% | 2008-04-27 | Lost |
1030 | 1207 | 27% | 2007-06-12 | Lost |
1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2005-10-16 | Won |
1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2004-06-14 | Won |
1227 | 940 | 84% | 2004-04-21 | Won |
1118 | 1227 | 35% | 2004-03-12 | Lost |
856 | 1142 | 16% | 1995-07-05 | Lost |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 1993-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1065.5 vs 1023.2 has a 56.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).