Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (31 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 30
Defender wins (German): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-10-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1152 | 960 | 75% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1102 | 878 | 78% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1186 | 61% | 2019-08-28 | Won |
| 983 | 958 | 54% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1046 | 920 | 67% | 2018-08-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 964 | 63% | 2017-11-11 | Won |
| 1232 | 1421 | 25% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
| 1108 | 972 | 69% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2015-03-13 | Won |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2015-02-25 | Won |
| 756 | 986 | 21% | 2015-01-31 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1140 | 48% | 2010-10-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 997 | 53% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 954 | 1062 | 35% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 1012 | 919 | 63% | 2008-04-27 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1136 | 36% | 2007-06-12 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2005-10-16 | Won |
| 1061 | 959 | 64% | 2005-05-14 | Won |
| 1058 | 1019 | 56% | 2004-06-14 | Won |
| 1233 | 940 | 84% | 2004-04-21 | Won |
| 1118 | 1233 | 34% | 2004-03-12 | Lost |
| 1264 | 978 | 84% | 2000-12-13 | Won |
| 1023 | 1065 | 44% | 2000-12-03 | Lost |
| 963 | 1080 | 34% | 1999-05-05 | Lost |
| 876 | 1080 | 24% | 1998-04-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1175 | 37% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
| 866 | 1159 | 16% | 1995-07-05 | Lost |
| 1040 | 983 | 58% | 1993-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1036.4 has a 52.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).