Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (60 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 69
Defender wins (Chinese): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 976 | 66% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 976 | 66% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1014 | 66% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 931 | 1152 | 22% | 2020-10-23 | Won |
| 932 | 1102 | 27% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 904 | 980 | 39% | 2020-08-12 | Lost |
| 959 | 996 | 45% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1105 | 1256 | 30% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1147 | 1024 | 67% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1006 | 1117 | 35% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-03-21 | Lost |
| 998 | 919 | 61% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1025 | 1283 | 18% | 2019-04-25 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1132 | 45% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1049 | 991 | 58% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2016-09-05 | Won |
| 1172 | 932 | 80% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
| 1036 | 1005 | 54% | 2016-04-20 | Won |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 1253 | 16% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2015-01-23 | Lost |
| 1147 | 910 | 80% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1058 | 1036 | 53% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
| 921 | 1071 | 30% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
| 1256 | 992 | 82% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 1045 | 959 | 62% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 819 | 936 | 34% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2011-01-30 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1019 | 78% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 1024 | 938 | 62% | 2010-09-19 | Won |
| 1126 | 1002 | 67% | 2009-07-26 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2009-06-09 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-05 | Won |
| 1036 | 1103 | 40% | 2008-08-19 | Won |
| 1196 | 1140 | 58% | 2007-11-03 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1283 | 53% | 2007-07-11 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1140 | 50% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 1041 | 1027 | 52% | 2006-04-21 | Won |
| 1127 | 1095 | 55% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 992 | 955 | 55% | 2006-03-04 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1051 | 52% | 2005-07-29 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1255 | 25% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
| 959 | 1269 | 14% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1283 | 31% | 2004-05-29 | Lost |
| 1065 | 913 | 71% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 1998-12-18 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1140 | 36% | 1998-08-24 | Won |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 1997-12-24 | Won |
| 1173 | 1011 | 72% | 1997-09-20 | Won |
| 1097 | 1173 | 39% | 1996-12-07 | Won |
| 1024 | 1086 | 41% | 1995-08-05 | Won |
| 1053 | 1204 | 30% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
| 1104 | 1045 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (32 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1054.9 has a 50.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).