Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55
Attacker wins (Japanese): 33
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1131 | 47% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1107 | 1131 | 47% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1033 | 61% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
| 1110 | 973 | 69% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 932 | 1151 | 22% | 2020-10-23 | Won |
| 933 | 1110 | 27% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 900 | 1008 | 35% | 2020-08-12 | Lost |
| 932 | 996 | 41% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1044 | 1220 | 27% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1149 | 1052 | 64% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 935 | 864 | 60% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 1060 | 45% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2020-03-21 | Lost |
| 998 | 920 | 61% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1009 | 909 | 64% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1136 | 54% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 985 | 991 | 49% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2016-09-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 932 | 75% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
| 1034 | 1005 | 54% | 2016-04-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1104 | 40% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 1329 | 11% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 920 | 58% | 2015-01-23 | Lost |
| 1149 | 998 | 70% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1181 | 1038 | 69% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
| 921 | 1067 | 30% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
| 1220 | 968 | 81% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 1044 | 932 | 66% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 995 | 1143 | 30% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1064 | 1100 | 45% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 819 | 936 | 34% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2011-01-30 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1020 | 78% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 1052 | 938 | 66% | 2010-09-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1009 | 66% | 2009-07-26 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2009-06-09 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-05 | Won |
| 1034 | 1103 | 40% | 2008-08-19 | Won |
| 1194 | 1152 | 56% | 2007-11-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1146 | 51% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 1041 | 1027 | 52% | 2006-04-21 | Won |
| 1111 | 1095 | 52% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 968 | 955 | 52% | 2006-03-04 | Lost |
| 994 | 1182 | 25% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
| 932 | 1277 | 12% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 1061 | 914 | 70% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 1998-12-18 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1152 | 35% | 1998-08-24 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 1997-12-24 | Won |
| 1115 | 1011 | 65% | 1997-09-20 | Won |
| 1104 | 1115 | 48% | 1996-12-07 | Won |
| 1052 | 1103 | 43% | 1995-08-05 | Won |
| 1053 | 1167 | 34% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1036 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (32 wins) average ELOs: 1047.5 vs 1051.8 has a 49.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).