Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57
Attacker wins (Japanese): 33
Defender wins (Chinese): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 976 | 67% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1102 | 976 | 67% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1015 | 64% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
| 1103 | 913 | 75% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 931 | 1151 | 22% | 2020-10-23 | Won |
| 933 | 1103 | 27% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 917 | 980 | 41% | 2020-08-12 | Lost |
| 1032 | 996 | 55% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1084 | 1274 | 25% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1106 | 1051 | 58% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 953 | 855 | 64% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1020 | 1055 | 45% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-03-21 | Lost |
| 998 | 920 | 61% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1009 | 940 | 60% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1135 | 45% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 996 | 991 | 51% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1031 | 51% | 2016-09-05 | Won |
| 1172 | 932 | 80% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
| 1035 | 1006 | 54% | 2016-04-20 | Won |
| 978 | 755 | 78% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1105 | 40% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 1333 | 11% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2015-01-23 | Lost |
| 1106 | 885 | 78% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1183 | 1038 | 70% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
| 920 | 1067 | 30% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
| 1274 | 1000 | 83% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1032 | 52% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 805 | 1118 | 14% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1122 | 1100 | 53% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 819 | 936 | 34% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2011-01-30 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1020 | 78% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 1051 | 938 | 66% | 2010-09-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1009 | 66% | 2009-07-26 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2009-06-09 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-05 | Won |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | 2008-08-19 | Won |
| 1196 | 1152 | 56% | 2007-11-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1133 | 53% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 1041 | 1027 | 52% | 2006-04-21 | Won |
| 1112 | 1095 | 52% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 955 | 56% | 2006-03-04 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2005-07-29 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1236 | 25% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1293 | 18% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 1050 | 914 | 69% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 1998-12-18 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1152 | 35% | 1998-08-24 | Won |
| 1202 | 1089 | 66% | 1997-12-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 1011 | 71% | 1997-09-20 | Won |
| 1105 | 1163 | 42% | 1996-12-07 | Won |
| 1051 | 1085 | 45% | 1995-08-05 | Won |
| 1053 | 1187 | 32% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1002 | 66% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (32 wins) average ELOs: 1054.3 vs 1043.6 has a 51.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).