Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48
Attacker wins (Japanese): 28
Defender wins (Chinese): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1074 | 55% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
| 1126 | 970 | 71% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 932 | 1149 | 22% | 2020-10-23 | Won |
| 931 | 1126 | 25% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 881 | 1008 | 32% | 2020-08-12 | Lost |
| 958 | 1004 | 43% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1056 | 1190 | 32% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1133 | 1087 | 57% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 932 | 848 | 62% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1034 | 1022 | 52% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-03-21 | Lost |
| 998 | 920 | 61% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1002 | 909 | 63% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1132 | 51% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1059 | 991 | 60% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 946 | 1071 | 33% | 2016-09-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 932 | 75% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
| 1030 | 1002 | 54% | 2016-04-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 1311 | 12% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 918 | 58% | 2015-01-23 | Lost |
| 1133 | 944 | 75% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1109 | 1016 | 63% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
| 1190 | 944 | 80% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 936 | 1067 | 32% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 958 | 62% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 1205 | 25% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1047 | 1099 | 43% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 819 | 938 | 34% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 982 | 44% | 2011-01-30 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1018 | 77% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 1087 | 968 | 66% | 2010-09-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1002 | 67% | 2009-07-26 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1099 | 50% | 2009-06-09 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-05 | Won |
| 1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2008-08-19 | Won |
| 1037 | 1027 | 51% | 2006-04-21 | Won |
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 944 | 955 | 48% | 2006-03-04 | Lost |
| 985 | 1181 | 24% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
| 958 | 1284 | 13% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 994 | 918 | 61% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 1998-12-18 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1011 | 68% | 1997-09-20 | Won |
| 1046 | 1138 | 37% | 1996-12-07 | Won |
| 1087 | 1088 | 50% | 1995-08-05 | Won |
| 1103 | 1058 | 56% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (27 wins) average ELOs: 1035.3 vs 1041.3 has a 49.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).