Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57
Attacker wins (Japanese): 33
Defender wins (Chinese): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 976 | 66% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 976 | 66% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1015 | 64% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
| 1110 | 935 | 73% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 932 | 1151 | 22% | 2020-10-23 | Won |
| 933 | 1110 | 27% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 918 | 1008 | 37% | 2020-08-12 | Lost |
| 907 | 996 | 37% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1075 | 1257 | 26% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1148 | 1051 | 64% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 942 | 864 | 61% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 1065 | 45% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-03-21 | Lost |
| 998 | 920 | 61% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1008 | 951 | 58% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1135 | 54% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1036 | 991 | 56% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2016-09-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 932 | 75% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
| 1035 | 1006 | 54% | 2016-04-20 | Won |
| 978 | 754 | 78% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1105 | 40% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 1333 | 11% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2015-01-23 | Lost |
| 1148 | 927 | 78% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1198 | 1038 | 72% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
| 920 | 1067 | 30% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
| 1257 | 947 | 86% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 1045 | 907 | 69% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 924 | 1131 | 23% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1123 | 1100 | 53% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 819 | 936 | 34% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2011-01-30 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1020 | 78% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 1051 | 938 | 66% | 2010-09-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1008 | 66% | 2009-07-26 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2009-06-09 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-05 | Won |
| 1035 | 1103 | 40% | 2008-08-19 | Won |
| 1196 | 1152 | 56% | 2007-11-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1133 | 53% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 1041 | 1027 | 52% | 2006-04-21 | Won |
| 1112 | 1095 | 52% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 947 | 955 | 49% | 2006-03-04 | Lost |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2005-07-29 | Lost |
| 999 | 1141 | 31% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
| 907 | 1277 | 11% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 1063 | 914 | 70% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
| 1123 | 1123 | 50% | 1998-12-18 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1152 | 35% | 1998-08-24 | Won |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 1997-12-24 | Won |
| 1127 | 1011 | 66% | 1997-09-20 | Won |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 1996-12-07 | Won |
| 1051 | 1085 | 45% | 1995-08-05 | Won |
| 1053 | 1189 | 31% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1028 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (32 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1038.7 has a 51.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).