ASL Scenario Archive

Wintergewitter

Games with no balance used/recorded: 340 (36 on the archive and 304 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (German): 194

Defender wins (Russian): 145

With balance for the defender (only):

Games played: 1

Attacker wins (German): 0

Defender wins (Russian): 1

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1075	1075	50%	2025-01-27	Won
1206	1075	68%	2025-01-27	Won
1012	1128	34%	2025-01-26	Won
1011	1030	47%	2023-09-06	Lost
954	1012	42%	2021-12-14	Won
1012	1182	27%	2021-04-21	Lost
1080	1034	57%	2021-02-02	Lost
984	944	56%	2020-09-24	Lost
1037	1037	50%	2020-06-21	Won
1034	1118	38%	2019-05-17	Won
1088	1088	50%	2018-03-24	Won
996	1197	24%	2016-12-18	Won
946	1036	37%	2016-12-10	Won
1026	979	57%	2016-08-27	Won
976	1022	43%	2015-05-23	Won
1245	1062	74%	2014-11-07	Won
889	942	42%	2014-08-18	Won
1043	927	66%	2013-10-11	Won
1067	951	66%	2013-08-27	Won
1003	958	56%	2012-10-27	Won
1098	1021	61%	2012-10-26	Lost
1046	1046	50%	2011-08-27	Lost
1030	1125	37%	2010-12-28	Won
1037	1027	51%	2009-12-05	Won
1149	1125	53%	2009-10-04	Won
1400	901	95%	2006-06-16	Won
1285	1296	48%	2006-02-26	Lost
1206	982	78%	2005-08-14	Won
996	985	52%	2004-12-14	Won
1097	985	66%	2004-12-14	Won
1002	1072	40%	2004-02-09	Won
1069	1009	59%	2003-11-11	Won
911	985	40%	2001-12-29	Won
1154	1046	65%	2000-03-19	Won
959	1128	27%	1996-07-28	Lost
1160	1112	57%		Won

Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1063.4 vs 1045.6 has a 52.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).