Airborne Samurai
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (Dutch): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 948 | 968 | 47% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 1031 | 1079 | 43% | 2015-12-15 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1071 | 64% | 2011-09-14 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1064 | 47% | 2011-08-06 | Lost |
| 1069 | 936 | 68% | 2011-06-05 | Won |
| 907 | 1172 | 18% | 2003-10-30 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1087 | 46% | 2002-05-17 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 1999-07-01 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1141 | 57% | 1999-05-14 | Lost |
| 924 | 1033 | 35% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.8 vs 1066.3 has a 47.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).