Crossing the Gniloi Tikitsch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1217 | 1073 | 70% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1097 | 955 | 69% | 2023-12-20 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 982 | 71% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1140 | 982 | 71% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1122 | 1127 | 49% | 2003-08-30 | Won |
| 1122 | 1127 | 49% | 2003-04-25 | Tied |
| 994 | 1030 | 45% | 2003-02-23 | Won |
| 1342 | 1096 | 80% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2001-12-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 925 | 63% | 1998-05-20 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1140 | 57% | 1996-09-26 | Won |
| 1113 | 971 | 69% | 1994-07-18 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1120.5 vs 1059.5 has a 58.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).