Crossing the Gniloi Tikitsch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1031 | 56% | 2024-12-30 | Won |
| 1011 | 1030 | 47% | 2023-12-20 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1216 | 34% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
| 1141 | 982 | 71% | 2021-03-27 | Won |
| 1141 | 982 | 71% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1148 | 1128 | 53% | 2003-08-30 | Won |
| 1148 | 1128 | 53% | 2003-04-25 | Tied |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2003-02-23 | Won |
| 999 | 1107 | 35% | 2001-12-16 | Lost |
| 1017 | 974 | 56% | 1998-05-20 | Lost |
| 1135 | 971 | 72% | 1994-07-18 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1087.2 vs 1056.9 has a 54.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).