Crossing the Gniloi Tikitsch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (14 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Russian): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1063 | 42% | 2024-12-30 | | Won |
| 971 | 1052 | 39% | 2023-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1292 | 16% | 2021-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 982 | 70% | 2021-03-27 | | Won |
| 1131 | 982 | 70% | 2021-03-20 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-11-01 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1212 | 40% | 2003-08-30 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1212 | 40% | 2003-04-25 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1042 | 44% | 2003-02-23 | | Won |
| 1217 | 1000 | 78% | 2002-01-26 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1183 | 27% | 2001-12-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 1998-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 1996-09-26 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 1994-07-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1082.3 has a 46.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).