Cattern's Position
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Australian): 7
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1013 | 52% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 949 | 982 | 45% | 2021-10-31 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1065 | 56% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1058 | 49% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1068 | 43% | 2008-04-26 | Won |
| 982 | 878 | 65% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1152 | 55% | 2007-10-04 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2004-07-28 | Won |
| 1031 | 1111 | 39% | 2003-03-27 | Won |
| 1123 | 1293 | 27% | 2002-01-27 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1247 | 26% | 2002-01-27 | Won |
| 957 | 1035 | 39% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1123 | 51% | 2002-01-19 | Won |
| 1028 | 1152 | 33% | 2001-10-04 | Won |
| 1123 | 1108 | 52% | 1998-05-02 | Lost |
| 1028 | 893 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1055.7 has a 50.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).