Cattern's Position
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Australian): 8
Defender wins (Japanese): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 948 | 1019 | 40% | 2021-10-31 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1066 | 58% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 983 | 1059 | 39% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1066 | 43% | 2008-04-26 | Won |
| 938 | 910 | 54% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1140 | 67% | 2007-10-04 | Won |
| 1264 | 1242 | 53% | 2007-10-04 | Won |
| 1233 | 1344 | 35% | 2005-02-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2004-07-28 | Won |
| 1031 | 1023 | 51% | 2003-03-27 | Won |
| 1159 | 1269 | 35% | 2002-01-27 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1303 | 20% | 2002-01-27 | Won |
| 957 | 1036 | 39% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1159 | 45% | 2002-01-19 | Won |
| 1023 | 1140 | 34% | 2001-10-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1264 | 16% | 2000-09-19 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1109 | 57% | 1998-05-02 | Lost |
| 1019 | 894 | 67% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1076.7 vs 1093.4 has a 47.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).