Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1047 | 995 | 57% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1029 | 1127 | 36% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1029 | 1102 | 40% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1084 | 1007 | 61% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 938 | 78% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1156 | 907 | 81% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1141 | 973 | 72% | 2006-12-16 | Won |
| 1136 | 1141 | 49% | 2006-10-07 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1141 | 50% | 2003-10-07 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1263 | 54% | 1999-11-14 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1086 | 47% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 1998-05-19 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1182 | 41% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1182 | 1119 | 59% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1074 | 833 | 80% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1087.9 vs 1073.8 has a 52.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).