Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 993 | 1187 | 25% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 993 | 1175 | 26% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 938 | 78% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 942 | 1344 | 9% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1269 | 21% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 972 | 72% | 2006-12-16 | Won |
| 1131 | 1140 | 49% | 2006-10-07 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1140 | 54% | 2003-10-07 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1264 | 54% | 1999-11-14 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1086 | 47% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 1998-05-19 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1036 | 833 | 76% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1070.5 vs 1107.4 has a 44.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).