Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Japanese): 8
Defender wins (American): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1011 | 52% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 994 | 1188 | 25% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 994 | 1111 | 34% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1190 | 937 | 81% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 933 | 79% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 933 | 960 | 46% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1030 | 1284 | 19% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1086 | 45% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1167 | 844 | 87% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1070.3 vs 1055 has a 52.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).