Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1053 | 1191 | 31% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1053 | 1184 | 32% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1125 | 991 | 68% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 938 | 78% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1075 | 952 | 67% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1269 | 21% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 972 | 72% | 2006-12-16 | Won |
| 1137 | 1140 | 50% | 2006-10-07 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1140 | 51% | 2003-10-07 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1283 | 51% | 1999-11-14 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1086 | 47% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 1998-05-19 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1084 | 830 | 81% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1090.8 vs 1089.1 has a 50.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).