Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1099 | 943 | 71% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1170 | 29% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1018 | 1159 | 31% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 1031 | 64% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 937 | 78% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1342 | 14% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1141 | 972 | 73% | 2006-12-16 | Won |
| 1127 | 1141 | 48% | 2006-10-07 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1141 | 52% | 2003-10-07 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1263 | 54% | 1999-11-14 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1086 | 47% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 1998-05-19 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1169 | 1159 | 51% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1036 | 833 | 76% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1081.4 vs 1103.2 has a 46.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).