Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1111 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1013 | 52% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 1191 | 30% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1045 | 1153 | 35% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1109 | 999 | 65% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 983 | 73% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 999 | 951 | 57% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1035 | 1293 | 18% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1152 | 973 | 74% | 2006-12-16 | Won |
| 1089 | 1152 | 41% | 2006-10-07 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1152 | 47% | 2003-10-07 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1086 | 47% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1998-05-19 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1132 | 52% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1132 | 1143 | 48% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1104 | 830 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1065.9 vs 1082.1 has a 47.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).