Jungle Fighters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 177 (37 on the archive and 140 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 80
Defender wins (British / Australian): 96
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 962 | 52% | 2026-01-14 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2023-10-07 | | Lost |
| 825 | 1033 | 23% | 2023-08-14 | | Won |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2022-08-15 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-09-26 | | Lost |
| 967 | 904 | 59% | 2021-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2019-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2018-11-12 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2018-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2017-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2017-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2016-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1080 | 55% | 2014-11-09 | | Won |
| 969 | 1062 | 37% | 2014-06-21 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1064 | 36% | 2014-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2014-03-13 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2011-07-16 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1130 | 52% | 2011-04-16 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1026 | 29% | 2011-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 981 | 82% | 2009-10-08 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2007-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2007-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2007-08-27 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2007-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2005-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2005-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2004-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2004-05-24 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2001-01-01 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2000-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 1999-11-13 | | Won |
| 790 | 1141 | 12% | 1999-09-21 | | Won |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 1999-07-31 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1167 | 32% | 1999-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1035.2 vs 1037.4 has a 49.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).