Jungle Fighters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 176 (37 on the archive and 139 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 80
Defender wins (British / Australian): 95
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 1015 | 48% | 2026-01-14 | Won |
| 1163 | 979 | 74% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-08-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-08-15 | Won |
| 967 | 1085 | 34% | 2021-09-26 | Lost |
| 895 | 1000 | 35% | 2021-05-06 | Lost |
| 988 | 1048 | 41% | 2019-12-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-07-01 | Won |
| 1000 | 993 | 51% | 2017-11-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 936 | 993 | 42% | 2014-11-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 988 | 52% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1018 | 997 | 53% | 2014-04-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-03-13 | Won |
| 988 | 1000 | 48% | 2011-07-16 | Won |
| 858 | 1113 | 19% | 2011-04-16 | Lost |
| 977 | 1026 | 43% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 1175 | 930 | 80% | 2009-10-08 | Won |
| 1030 | 1065 | 45% | 2007-09-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2007-08-30 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1030 | 60% | 2007-08-27 | Tied |
| 918 | 934 | 48% | 2007-02-20 | Lost |
| 983 | 1142 | 29% | 2005-09-24 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1164 | 35% | 2005-01-16 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1086 | 54% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
| 865 | 889 | 47% | 2004-05-24 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2001-04-04 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1132 | 33% | 2001-01-01 | Lost |
| 1014 | 988 | 54% | 2000-06-03 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1067 | 47% | 1999-11-13 | Won |
| 788 | 1161 | 10% | 1999-09-21 | Won |
| 1070 | 1163 | 37% | 1999-07-31 | Won |
| 1010 | 1096 | 38% | 1999-01-25 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1026 | 50% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1002.9 vs 1033.3 has a 45.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).