Jungle Fighters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 175 (36 on the archive and 139 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 79
Defender wins (British / Australian): 95
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 998 | 41% | 2026-01-14 | Won |
| 1162 | 1023 | 69% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2023-08-14 | Won |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2022-08-15 | Won |
| 948 | 982 | 45% | 2021-09-26 | Lost |
| 913 | 887 | 54% | 2021-05-06 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2019-12-17 | Lost |
| 911 | 1046 | 31% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 1046 | 1049 | 50% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2018-07-01 | Won |
| 1061 | 1019 | 56% | 2017-11-03 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1019 | 59% | 2014-11-09 | Won |
| 969 | 1040 | 40% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 966 | 1052 | 38% | 2014-04-12 | Lost |
| 977 | 1036 | 42% | 2014-03-13 | Won |
| 1040 | 1018 | 53% | 2011-07-16 | Won |
| 1134 | 1130 | 51% | 2011-04-16 | Lost |
| 870 | 1026 | 29% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 1264 | 969 | 85% | 2009-10-08 | Won |
| 1234 | 922 | 86% | 2007-09-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2007-08-30 | Lost |
| 1427 | 1234 | 75% | 2007-08-27 | Tied |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 2007-02-20 | Lost |
| 983 | 1036 | 42% | 2005-09-24 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1223 | 28% | 2005-01-16 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1023 | 63% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
| 865 | 927 | 41% | 2004-05-24 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-04-04 | Lost |
| 1036 | 982 | 58% | 2001-01-01 | Lost |
| 947 | 988 | 44% | 2000-06-03 | Lost |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 1999-09-21 | Won |
| 1228 | 1162 | 59% | 1999-07-31 | Won |
| 1036 | 1160 | 33% | 1999-01-25 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1019 | 51% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1047.3 vs 1046.8 has a 50.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).