The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Polish): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
991 | 1142 | 30% | 2024-03-09 | Tied |
943 | 930 | 52% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
1144 | 975 | 73% | 2016-09-17 | Won |
1003 | 1264 | 18% | 2003-04-23 | Lost |
1098 | 890 | 77% | 2000-11-15 | Lost |
1098 | 1091 | 51% | 2000-10-22 | Lost |
992 | 1056 | 41% | 2000-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1038.4 vs 1049.7 has a 48.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).