Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 215 (46 on the archive and 169 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 117
Defender wins (Dutch): 98
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2026-01-28 | | Won |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-01-05 | | Won |
| 1079 | 1027 | 57% | 2025-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-12-19 | | Won |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-01-14 | | Won |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2023-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2023-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1167 | 46% | 2022-11-17 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-10-20 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2021-09-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2020-02-15 | | Lost |
| 943 | 983 | 44% | 2019-10-19 | | Won |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2019-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-12-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2018-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 915 | 70% | 2016-05-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2016-04-30 | | Lost |
| 916 | 1120 | 24% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2014-07-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2014-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1241 | 22% | 2014-06-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2012-10-02 | | Won |
| 1008 | 841 | 72% | 2009-03-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2008-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2008-09-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2008-09-07 | | Won |
| 1178 | 1000 | 74% | 2008-03-29 | | Won |
| 862 | 1092 | 21% | 2007-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2006-11-25 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2005-09-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2005-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1140 | 35% | 2005-05-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2005-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-05-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2004-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2002-06-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2002-06-12 | | Won |
| 969 | 1344 | 10% | 2002-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 866 | 79% | 2002-01-27 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2002-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2002-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1067 | 54% | 2001-10-04 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2001-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1038.6 vs 1049.1 has a 48.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).