A Burnt Out Case
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (17 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 42
Defender wins (German): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2025-11-19 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1050 | 44% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1050 | 44% | 2025-11-01 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1255 | 19% | 2025-08-11 | Won |
| 1045 | 1096 | 43% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 962 | 1037 | 39% | 2018-07-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2017-07-04 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 980 | 980 | 50% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 960 | 1096 | 31% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1068 | 43% | 2011-05-07 | Won |
| 1255 | 1048 | 77% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 1032 | 39% | 2002-10-18 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2002-02-26 | Won |
| 1109 | 1041 | 60% | 2001-11-07 | Lost |
| 953 | 1032 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 1051.4 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).