A Burnt Out Case
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (14 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 42
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1158 | 31% | 2025-08-11 | Won |
| 1036 | 1097 | 41% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1037 | 41% | 2018-07-04 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2017-07-04 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2017-05-29 | Lost |
| 949 | 977 | 46% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 964 | 1163 | 24% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1050 | 51% | 2011-05-07 | Won |
| 1158 | 1023 | 69% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 954 | 1090 | 31% | 2002-10-18 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2002-02-26 | Won |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 2001-11-07 | Lost |
| 954 | 1090 | 31% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1056.4 has a 47.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).