A Burnt Out Case
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (9 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1098 | 42% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 962 | 1037 | 39% | 2018-07-04 | Won |
| 1176 | 977 | 76% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 955 | 1156 | 24% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1023 | 70% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 955 | 1107 | 29% | 2002-10-18 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1074 | 51% | 2001-11-07 | Lost |
| 955 | 1107 | 29% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048 vs 1089.7 has a 44.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).