Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (9 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 26
Defender wins (French): 25
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai (Chinese)): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1013 | 52% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2023-01-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2021-12-05 | Won |
| 982 | 949 | 55% | 2020-05-23 | Lost |
| 893 | 1067 | 27% | 2013-02-26 | Won |
| 870 | 1160 | 16% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1123 | 52% | 2007-05-05 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1098 | 52% | 2003-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 996.6 vs 1055.9 has a 41.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).