The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 1010 | 43% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 861 | 856 | 51% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 845 | 1051 | 23% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1214 | 946 | 82% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 881 | 946 | 41% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1195 | 860 | 87% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
| 927 | 1020 | 37% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1065 | 1073 | 49% | 2016-10-19 | Lost |
| 1195 | 877 | 86% | 2016-05-22 | Won |
| 1020 | 1113 | 37% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 951 | 1093 | 31% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
| 942 | 918 | 53% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1006 | 1008 | 50% | 2010-12-20 | Lost |
| 860 | 992 | 32% | 2009-01-21 | Won |
| 1020 | 892 | 68% | 2007-12-04 | Won |
| 829 | 920 | 37% | 2002-03-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1024 | 48% | 1998-01-06 | Won |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1000.3 vs 997 has a 50.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).