The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 124 (23 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 63
Defender wins (German): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 971 | 964 | 51% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 963 | 1024 | 41% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 861 | 878 | 48% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 875 | 1086 | 23% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1228 | 949 | 83% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 881 | 946 | 41% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 945 | 73% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
| 958 | 1018 | 41% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1066 | 1075 | 49% | 2016-10-19 | Lost |
| 1167 | 888 | 83% | 2016-05-22 | Won |
| 1020 | 1172 | 29% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 919 | 53% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1004 | 1008 | 49% | 2010-12-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2010-08-13 | Lost |
| 945 | 990 | 44% | 2009-01-21 | Won |
| 1083 | 893 | 75% | 2007-12-04 | Won |
| 827 | 920 | 37% | 2002-03-05 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1076 | 61% | 2001-10-07 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1080 | 67% | 1998-01-06 | Won |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1025.4 vs 1005.2 has a 52.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).