The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 876 | 893 | 48% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 837 | 1040 | 24% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1204 | 948 | 81% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 911 | 946 | 45% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1071 | 68% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
| 907 | 1020 | 34% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1064 | 1074 | 49% | 2016-10-19 | Lost |
| 1114 | 853 | 82% | 2016-05-22 | Won |
| 1020 | 1113 | 37% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1025 | 48% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
| 953 | 919 | 55% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1006 | 1029 | 47% | 2010-12-20 | Lost |
| 1071 | 992 | 61% | 2009-01-21 | Won |
| 1056 | 901 | 71% | 2007-12-04 | Won |
| 829 | 920 | 37% | 2002-03-05 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1160 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1019.3 vs 1004.1 has a 52.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).