The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 1016 | 42% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 861 | 878 | 48% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 892 | 1085 | 25% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1228 | 946 | 84% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 881 | 946 | 41% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
| 906 | 1020 | 34% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1065 | 1075 | 49% | 2016-10-19 | Lost |
| 1199 | 869 | 87% | 2016-05-22 | Won |
| 1020 | 1113 | 37% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
| 942 | 919 | 53% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1006 | 1008 | 50% | 2010-12-20 | Lost |
| 748 | 992 | 20% | 2009-01-21 | Won |
| 1073 | 892 | 74% | 2007-12-04 | Won |
| 829 | 920 | 37% | 2002-03-05 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 1998-01-06 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1002.6 vs 986.7 has a 52.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).