The French Decide to Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (Vichy French): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1190 | 1063 | 68% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
| 1153 | 960 | 75% | 2020-11-17 | Won |
| 1026 | 1040 | 48% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 982 | 949 | 55% | 2018-06-13 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1001 | 58% | 2014-02-11 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2008-07-17 | Won |
| 1068 | 1021 | 57% | 2002-02-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1079.6 vs 1020.4 has a 58.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).