The French Decide to Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (8 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 24
Defender wins (Vichy French): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1154 | 1066 | 62% | 2021-08-21 | Won |
| 1178 | 970 | 77% | 2020-11-17 | Won |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1102 | 948 | 71% | 2018-06-13 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1003 | 68% | 2014-02-11 | Lost |
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2008-07-17 | Won |
| 1060 | 1022 | 55% | 2002-02-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1105.6 vs 1013.5 has a 62.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).