Brief Breakfast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (14 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (American): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | 2022-11-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2017-02-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2017-02-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2017-02-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2017-02-10 | | Won |
| 992 | 1008 | 48% | 2016-12-10 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2015-12-06 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1038 | 50% | 2014-10-05 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1217 | 21% | 2013-11-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2011-10-28 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2011-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2008-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2004-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 1998-12-12 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1016.3 vs 1045.9 has a 45.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).