Brief Breakfast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (12 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (American): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-02-10 | Won |
952 | 826 | 67% | 2016-12-10 | Lost |
1014 | 1034 | 47% | 2015-12-06 | Won |
919 | 1000 | 39% | 2014-10-05 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
948 | 1000 | 43% | 2011-05-06 | Lost |
1084 | 1097 | 48% | 2008-12-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1042 | 58% | 2004-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1005.7 vs 999.9 has a 50.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).