Auld Lang Syne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 976 | 51% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 954 | 1026 | 40% | 2024-12-31 | Won |
| 1114 | 1136 | 47% | 2024-09-28 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1114 | 53% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1041 | 53% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-12-12 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1204 | 52% | 2022-05-30 | Lost |
| 938 | 938 | 50% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
| 938 | 938 | 50% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 910 | 950 | 44% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 950 | 1058 | 35% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2015-07-15 | Won |
| 959 | 1007 | 43% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1107 | 972 | 69% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1101 | 67% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 972 | 963 | 51% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 972 | 963 | 51% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 966 | 1072 | 35% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
| 1062 | 1048 | 52% | 2010-01-26 | Won |
| 1120 | 1058 | 59% | 2004-11-29 | Lost |
| 984 | 1027 | 44% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1032.3 vs 1030.5 has a 50.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).