Auld Lang Syne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (American): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 928 | 54% | 2024-12-31 | Won |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 1345 | 1074 | 83% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1155 | 59% | 2022-05-30 | Lost |
| 964 | 898 | 59% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
| 964 | 898 | 59% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 910 | 951 | 44% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 951 | 1168 | 22% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2015-07-15 | Won |
| 959 | 1002 | 44% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1004 | 63% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1098 | 67% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 923 | 963 | 44% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 923 | 963 | 44% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 966 | 1049 | 38% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
| 1062 | 1048 | 52% | 2010-01-26 | Won |
| 1121 | 1055 | 59% | 2004-11-29 | Lost |
| 984 | 1042 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1028 vs 1013.9 has a 52.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).