Auld Lang Syne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 896 | 59% | 2024-12-31 | Won |
| 1104 | 1116 | 48% | 2024-09-28 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1104 | 52% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 1345 | 1082 | 82% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1223 | 49% | 2022-05-30 | Lost |
| 964 | 898 | 59% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
| 964 | 898 | 59% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 910 | 951 | 44% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 951 | 1219 | 18% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2015-07-15 | Won |
| 959 | 1002 | 44% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1098 | 67% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 924 | 963 | 44% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 924 | 963 | 44% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 966 | 1086 | 33% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
| 1062 | 1048 | 52% | 2010-01-26 | Won |
| 1121 | 1055 | 59% | 2004-11-29 | Lost |
| 984 | 1014 | 46% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1037 vs 1024.5 has a 51.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).