A Tough Nut to Crack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (4 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 8
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1098 | 47% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1143 | 32% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2014-08-20 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1085.3 has a 44.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).