A Tough Nut to Crack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (4 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 7
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1042 | 55% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 748 | 1131 | 10% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2014-08-20 | Won |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2014-06-12 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 987.8 vs 1075 has a 37.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).