Vaagso Venture
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (6 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 16
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1012 | 42% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 935 | 1069 | 32% | 2020-05-24 | Lost |
| 964 | 1216 | 19% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 866 | 996 | 32% | 2013-06-22 | Won |
| 931 | 1010 | 39% | 2011-08-13 | Won |
| 1116 | 1043 | 60% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 961 vs 1057.7 has a 36.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).