Vaagso Venture
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (7 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 16
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1051 | 49% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 805 | 69% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 942 | 1063 | 33% | 2020-05-24 | Lost |
| 948 | 1218 | 17% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2013-06-22 | Won |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2011-08-13 | Won |
| 1117 | 1002 | 66% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 972.6 vs 1021.1 has a 43.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).