The Puma Prowls
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 408 (11 on the archive and 397 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 194
Defender wins (German): 214
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 840 | 76% | 2022-06-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2022-04-03 | | Won |
| 1108 | 975 | 68% | 2013-02-07 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1000 | 76% | 2011-09-27 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1100 | 44% | 2009-11-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2006-08-05 | | Won |
| 1040 | 987 | 58% | 1999-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 1999-12-27 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 1997-07-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 1997-06-06 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1048.5 vs 1016.4 has a 54.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).