The Puma Prowls
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 410 (12 on the archive and 398 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 194
Defender wins (German): 216
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1104 | 49% | 2026-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2022-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 818 | 80% | 2022-06-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2022-04-03 | | Won |
| 1108 | 975 | 68% | 2013-02-07 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2011-09-27 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1167 | 37% | 2009-11-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2006-08-05 | | Won |
| 1061 | 986 | 61% | 1999-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 1999-12-27 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 1997-07-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 1997-06-06 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1061.5 vs 1027.3 has a 54.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).