Gambit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (10 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 62
Defender wins (New Zealand): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (New Zealand): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
930 | 1006 | 39% | 2024-03-25 | Won |
1006 | 924 | 62% | 2020-08-08 | Won |
1115 | 1120 | 49% | 2017-06-01 | Won |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2017-01-14 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2015-10-14 | Won |
997 | 1002 | 49% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
1062 | 1048 | 52% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
1154 | 1307 | 29% | 2007-09-22 | Lost |
1030 | 966 | 59% | 2005-06-29 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2005-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1045.2 vs 1022.2 has a 53.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).