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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 262 (103 on the archive and 159 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 118
Defender wins (American): 140
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1124 | 1124 | 50% | 2024-09-28 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1043 | 44% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 931 | 1030 | 36% | 2024-07-31 | Lost |
| 1431 | 954 | 94% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1028 | 1028 | 50% | 2024-03-14 | Won |
| 931 | 959 | 46% | 2023-12-24 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1064 | 56% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1036 | 51% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 1006 | 931 | 61% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 952 | 931 | 53% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
| 1037 | 1020 | 52% | 2023-05-30 | Won |
| 1125 | 1134 | 49% | 2023-04-15 | Won |
| 1221 | 1246 | 46% | 2023-03-31 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1074 | 59% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1124 | 1072 | 57% | 2023-02-15 | Won |
| 1099 | 1056 | 56% | 2022-12-09 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1087 | 46% | 2022-11-29 | Won |
| 984 | 1015 | 46% | 2022-09-19 | Won |
| 1030 | 969 | 59% | 2022-08-26 | Lost |
| 947 | 969 | 47% | 2022-06-08 | Won |
| 1031 | 969 | 59% | 2022-05-02 | Won |
| 1139 | 931 | 77% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2022-04-06 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1053 | 47% | 2022-03-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1056 | 50% | 2022-02-13 | Won |
| 984 | 1056 | 40% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 1049 | 940 | 65% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 881 | 931 | 43% | 2021-10-31 | Tied |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-10-21 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-10-07 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-10-07 | Lost |
| 1155 | 964 | 75% | 2021-06-22 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-06-01 | Won |
| 940 | 926 | 52% | 2021-04-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 931 | 74% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-04 | Won |
| 1002 | 933 | 60% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1027 | 50% | 2021-01-28 | Won |
| 1085 | 1047 | 55% | 2020-12-29 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1085 | 45% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 965 | 931 | 55% | 2020-08-12 | Won |
| 1163 | 1006 | 71% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 891 | 837 | 58% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1163 | 29% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
| 1261 | 1007 | 81% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 1209 | 1202 | 51% | 2020-03-29 | Won |
| 1027 | 937 | 63% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-03-17 | Won |
| 826 | 972 | 30% | 2019-12-12 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1034 | 69% | 2019-11-01 | Won |
| 931 | 931 | 50% | 2019-10-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 959 | 63% | 2019-09-14 | Won |
| 931 | 997 | 41% | 2019-09-14 | Won |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2019-07-09 | Won |
| 1202 | 1209 | 49% | 2019-06-23 | Lost |
| 944 | 1140 | 24% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2018-11-22 | Won |
| 1082 | 1142 | 41% | 2018-08-28 | Lost |
| 972 | 972 | 50% | 2018-04-27 | Lost |
| 972 | 972 | 50% | 2018-04-27 | Lost |
| 1006 | 983 | 53% | 2017-12-01 | Lost |
| 855 | 888 | 45% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 994 | 1053 | 42% | 2017-09-22 | Won |
| 909 | 926 | 48% | 2017-07-09 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1026 | 61% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1107 | 49% | 2017-04-29 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1140 | 38% | 2017-04-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1159 | 32% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 984 | 54% | 2017-02-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 966 | 57% | 2017-02-24 | Lost |
| 931 | 1003 | 40% | 2017-01-31 | Lost |
| 893 | 1140 | 19% | 2016-12-10 | Lost |
| 931 | 881 | 57% | 2016-07-24 | Tied |
| 931 | 961 | 46% | 2016-03-29 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
| 1144 | 1054 | 63% | 2014-12-23 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1027 | 52% | 2014-08-15 | Won |
| 1045 | 981 | 59% | 2014-01-16 | Lost |
| 1045 | 981 | 59% | 2014-01-16 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2012-10-09 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2012-08-19 | Lost |
| 959 | 931 | 54% | 2012-07-23 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1030 | 50% | 2011-12-24 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-09-04 | Lost |
| 1006 | 983 | 53% | 2010-05-26 | Lost |
| 985 | 931 | 58% | 2010-01-27 | Lost |
| 992 | 1012 | 47% | 2010-01-11 | Won |
| 936 | 936 | 50% | 2009-12-03 | Lost |
| 936 | 936 | 50% | 2009-11-28 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-09-08 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2009-08-22 | Won |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2009-08-22 | Won |
| 1027 | 1004 | 53% | 2009-02-15 | Lost |
| 1215 | 913 | 85% | 2009-01-11 | Lost |
| 1019 | 946 | 60% | 2008-02-21 | Won |
| 1149 | 1088 | 59% | 2008-02-10 | Lost |
| 1001 | 958 | 56% | 2006-12-09 | Won |
| 984 | 1094 | 35% | 2006-11-05 | Lost |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-03-18 | Won |
| 943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-02-21 | Won |
| 1186 | 1037 | 70% | 2004-12-19 | Won |
| 1099 | 1086 | 52% | 2004-07-18 | Lost |
Attacking (45 wins) average ELOs: 1043.4 vs 1021.2 has a 53.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).